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@peterwildeford

It's great to see @SecRaimondo in the @nytimes talking about how AI will affect employment. She and I agree on the problem - AI will come at us fast and we're not ready. But I disagree with her solution. It's calibrated for a fundamentally different problem than the one she describes. She proposes things like community college certificates, apprenticeships, employer tax credits for retraining... these all assume there's some stable set of destination jobs that AI-displaced workers can be moved into. But the AI displacement she's warning about hits across white-collar work simultaneously. If you're retraining a displaced accountant, what would you retrain them into that AI can't also do? The target keeps moving, and it moves faster than any four-month credential program can help. This reads like someone who sees a 15%+ unemployment scenario but is proposing a toolkit for a 7% one. It will age like "retrain coal miners to code." What happens if comparable replacement jobs simply don't materialize at the needed scale?

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