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Lets look at the criteria for "weak AGI": ✅Loebner prize was a weak Turing Test, equivalent achieved by GPT-4.5 ✅Winograd passed by GPT-3 ✅SAT passed at 75% by GPT-4 Only remaining thing is playing an old Atari game from 1984. The labs could do the funniest thing right now https://t.co/Za2VwTsPvg
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"text": ". @metaculus forecasters now expect \"weak AGI\" to arrive later than they did just before the launch of ChatGPT https://t.co/6QcdZjldvz",
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