@natolambert
Open models year in review What a year! We're back with an updated open model builder tier list, our top models of the year, and our predictions for 2026. First, the winning models: 1. DeepSeek R1 (@deepseek_ai): Transformed the AI world 2. Qwen 3 Family (@AlibabaGroup): The new default open models 3. Kimi K2 Family (@Kimi_Moonshot): Models that convinced the world that DeepSeek wasn't special and China would produce numerous leading models. Runner up models: MiniMax M2 (@MiniMax__AI), GLM 4.5 (@Zai_org), GPT-OSS (@OpenAI), Gemma 3 (@GoogleAI), Olmo 3 (@allen_ai) Honorable Mentions: Nvidia's (@nvidia) Parakeet speech-to-text model & Nemotron 2 LLM, Moondream 3 VLM (@moondreamai), Granite 4 LLMs (@IBMResearch), and HuggingFace's (@huggingface) SmolLM3. Updated Tier list: Frontier open labs: DeepSeek (@deepseek_ai), Qwen (@AlibabaGroup), and Kimi Moonshot (@Kimi_Moonshot) Close behind: https://t.co/d5wmnd2o3C (@Zai_org) & MiniMax AI (@MiniMax__AI) (notably none from the U.S. here and up) Noteworthy (a mix of US & China): StepFun AI (@StepFun_ai), Ant Group's (@AntGroup/ @TheInclusionAI Inclusion AI, Meituan (@Meituan_LongCat), Tencent (@TencentHunyuan), IBM (@IBMResearch), Nvidia (@nvidia), Google (@GoogleAI), & Mistral (@MistralAI) Then a bunch more below that, which we detail. Predictions for 2026: 1. Scaling will continue with open models. 2. No substantive changes in the open model safety narrative. 3. Participation will continue to grow. 4. Ongoing general trends will continue w/ MoEs, hybrid attention, dense for fine-tuning. 5. The open and closed frontier gap will stay roughly the same on any public benchmarks. 6. No Llama-branded open model releases from Meta in 2026. Read the full post on @interconnectsai -- link below.