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@random_walker

I find the story of AI and radiology fascinating. Of course, Hinton's prediction was wrong* and tech advances don't automatically and straightforwardly cause job replacement — that's not the interesting part. Radiology has embraced AI enthusiastically, and the labor force is… https://t.co/S7iiWsiMZT

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                                  "text": "Very interesting to think about. Job = bundle of tasks + glue. Probably a bunch of other variables involved, e.g. the number of tasks, how long each task is (e.g. METR-like notion of task length ~= difficulty), how contextual it is, how high reliability it needs, whether it can be done fully digitally... Not sure what the state of the art is in trying to think this through and chart the impact of AI on the labor market so far.\n\nE.g. I was curious to look for radiologists and if I'm getting this right, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics cites 29,530 US radiologists in 2021, then up to 31,960 in 2023 (+8% growth).",
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