@random_walker
A lot of AI discourse is magical thinking and ignores the crucial "Phase 2". My bet is that (1) AI can indeed play a role in transforming various industries, societies, and governments (2) These transformations, if they happen, will usually be slow and painful (3) Their nature is not dictated by the logic of the technology itself but by what we collectively choose to do with the tech (4) In most cases, positive transformation will require institutional reform and hard decisions on issues such as compensating the "losers" of structural shifts (5) Most of the energy on AI & transformation today (for instance, on how AI can transform science) is misdirected because it doesn’t focus on real bottlenecks. The work of identifying and addressing bottlenecks, which is where the alpha is, has not really begun (6) This work will have to be done on a sector-by-sector basis, and domain expertise is more important than AI expertise.