@Anc_Aesthetics
Why would anyone use prediction models when we can use real mortality data? Answer: Because you can't make bodies appear out of thin air, but you can make fake projections appear out of thin air. When we look at mortality data what do we see? All cause mortality went down. HIV Infection rates went down. AIDS related deaths went down. Coverage went up. As predicted, USAID was just a Democrat slush fund they used to pay their activists, journalists and NGO workers. Which is the real reason why you're freaking out over this.